Dylan Larkin vs Justin Dowling

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.2% vs Dowling 49.5% (+19.1%)
Offensive zone Larkin 56.1%
Defensive zone Larkin 66.4%
Neutral zone Larkin 60.7%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Larkin Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
33.3% (3)
+17.8%
On even strength, Larkin has a +17.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Dowling is 100.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dowling
Home
51.7% (686)
100.0% (1)
Away
53.0% (658)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Larkin
Dowling
P1
52.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
0.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.4%
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%