Dylan Larkin vs Lars Eller

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 24 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs Eller 50.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 37-25 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 80.3%
Defensive zone Eller 51.0%
Neutral zone Larkin 59.8%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Larkin Eller
Head-to-Head Record
37 - 25 (62 meetings)
37
25
Larkin Eller
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Eller

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
20
4
Larkin Eller
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
17
Larkin Eller
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
12
4
Larkin Eller
16 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
51.1% (10,321)
+0.5%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
52.8% (621)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
46.6% (1,759)
+3.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Eller shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Larkin
Eller
Home
53.9% (6,277)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Larkin
Eller
P1
52.7%
51.2%
P2
53.1%
50.1%
P3
52.0%
50.2%
OT
58.4%
56.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%
Eller
44.0%
51.5%
50.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 24, 2026 2 14:59 Defensive Lars Eller
Mar 24, 2026 2 06:36 Defensive Lars Eller
Mar 24, 2026 1 17:29 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 24, 2026 1 17:15 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Feb 26, 2026 2 16:26 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 26, 2026 1 10:44 Defensive Lars Eller
Mar 18, 2025 3 02:29 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 7, 2025 3 18:24 Offensive Lars Eller
Dec 29, 2024 2 10:17 Defensive Lars Eller
Oct 10, 2024 3 06:48 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 10, 2024 3 01:42 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Oct 10, 2024 2 02:23 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 10, 2024 1 15:02 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Oct 10, 2024 1 11:47 Neutral Lars Eller
Oct 10, 2024 1 04:41 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Apr 11, 2024 3 15:59 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Apr 11, 2024 3 15:52 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Apr 11, 2024 3 12:56 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Apr 11, 2024 3 02:13 Defensive Lars Eller
Apr 11, 2024 2 09:10 Offensive Dylan Larkin