Dylan Larkin vs Leo Carlsson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs Carlsson 41.1% (+12.0%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 88.2%
Defensive zone Larkin 87.8%
Neutral zone Larkin 86.4%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Larkin Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
22 - 15 (37 meetings)
22
15
Larkin Carlsson
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Carlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
7
Larkin Carlsson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
4
Larkin Carlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
4
Larkin Carlsson
12 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
40.9% (1,878)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
42.9% (156)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
34.7% (121)
+15.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +15.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Home / Away
Larkin
Carlsson
Home
53.9% (6,277)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Larkin
Carlsson
P1
52.7%
43.3%
P2
53.1%
36.2%
P3
52.0%
43.3%
OT
58.4%
40.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
39.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%
Carlsson
32.0%
39.0%
40.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 13, 2025 3 15:17 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 13, 2025 3 13:48 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Nov 13, 2025 3 04:33 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Nov 13, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Nov 13, 2025 2 18:13 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 13, 2025 1 19:00 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 13, 2025 1 15:58 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Nov 13, 2025 1 13:25 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Nov 13, 2025 1 07:13 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Nov 13, 2025 1 06:58 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Nov 13, 2025 1 03:58 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Oct 31, 2025 3 16:58 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Oct 31, 2025 3 03:33 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 31, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Oct 31, 2025 2 16:20 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 31, 2025 2 15:17 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 31, 2025 2 10:13 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Oct 31, 2025 2 04:57 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Oct 31, 2025 2 00:18 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 31, 2025 2 00:11 Offensive Dylan Larkin