Dylan Larkin vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Celebrini 48.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 78.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Larkin
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Larkin
Celebrini
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Celebrini
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
3
Larkin
Celebrini
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Celebrini
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
47.8% (993)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
54.1% (111)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
56.0% (25)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Larkin
Celebrini
Home
51.7% (686)
48.5% (538)
Away
53.0% (658)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Larkin
Celebrini
P1
52.5%
48.1%
P2
52.7%
46.8%
P3
51.4%
51.0%
OT
61.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |