Dylan Larkin vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Celebrini 48.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 21-11 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 87.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 79.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Larkin
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
11
(32 meetings)
21
11
Larkin
Celebrini
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
4
Larkin
Celebrini
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
5
Larkin
Celebrini
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
2
Larkin
Celebrini
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
47.5% (1,894)
+4.1%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
54.4% (250)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
55.6% (36)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Celebrini is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,486).
Home / Away
Larkin
Celebrini
Home
53.9% (6,277)
48.0% (1,091)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
48.9% (1,089)
By Period
Larkin
Celebrini
P1
52.7%
47.4%
P2
53.1%
46.6%
P3
52.0%
51.4%
OT
58.4%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |