Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 80.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 63.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Larkin
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
56.5% (115)
-4.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
100.0% (3)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
100.0% (2)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kastelic
Home
55.6% (662)
54.8% (73)
Away
48.3% (542)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Larkin
Kastelic
P1
49.9%
50.0%
P2
52.7%
62.5%
P3
53.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.3%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
58.3%