Dylan Larkin vs Mathieu Joseph

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +24.6% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.2% vs Joseph 46.6% (+24.6%)
Offensive zone Larkin 53.7%
Defensive zone Larkin 73.4%
Neutral zone Larkin 57.7%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Larkin Joseph
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
31.3% (16)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
0.0% (2)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Joseph is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Larkin
Joseph
Home
51.7% (686)
25.0% (8)
Away
53.0% (658)
30.0% (10)
By Period
Larkin
Joseph
P1
52.5%
40.0%
P2
52.7%
30.0%
P3
51.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
20.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.4%
Joseph
44.0%
41.5%
27.8%