Dylan Larkin vs Mathieu Joseph

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs Joseph 40.9% (+14.3%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 84.0%
Defensive zone Larkin 91.1%
Neutral zone Larkin 86.3%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Larkin Joseph
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 3 (11 meetings)
8
3
Larkin Joseph
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Joseph

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin Joseph
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin Joseph
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joseph
1
2
Larkin Joseph
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
37.4% (337)
+14.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
57.1% (7)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
47.6% (21)
+2.6%
On even strength, Larkin has a +14.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Joseph is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Larkin
Joseph
Home
53.9% (6,277)
38.8% (183)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
37.9% (182)
By Period
Larkin
Joseph
P1
52.7%
36.2%
P2
53.1%
29.4%
P3
52.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%
Joseph
44.0%
41.5%
38.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 23, 2024 2 08:19 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 31, 2024 1 12:39 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 28, 2023 1 19:08 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 4, 2022 1 17:30 Neutral Mathieu Joseph
Mar 9, 2021 3 09:16 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Mar 9, 2021 3 05:19 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 9, 2021 1 17:39 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 9, 2021 1 13:04 Neutral Mathieu Joseph
Feb 3, 2021 2 02:02 Offensive Mathieu Joseph
Oct 18, 2018 3 16:13 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 18, 2018 2 16:28 Offensive Dylan Larkin