Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Bourque 46.5% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Larkin
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
46.8% (186)
+4.3%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
23.5% (17)
+35.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
42.9% (7)
+5.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Bourque is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bourque
Home
51.7% (686)
41.5% (106)
Away
53.0% (658)
48.1% (104)
By Period
Larkin
Bourque
P1
52.5%
40.6%
P2
52.7%
39.0%
P3
51.4%
51.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%