Dylan Larkin vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.7%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs McCarron 52.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 77.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 53.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Larkin
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Larkin
McCarron
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin
McCarron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
5
Larkin
McCarron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Larkin
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
53.3% (2,926)
-1.7%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
45.3% (86)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
50.1% (469)
+0.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Larkin
McCarron
Home
53.9% (6,277)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Larkin
McCarron
P1
52.7%
53.8%
P2
53.1%
52.3%
P3
52.0%
51.9%
OT
58.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |