Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.0%). Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 52.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Larkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Larkin
Zibanejad
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
4
Larkin
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
53.3% (807)
-2.2%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
47.6% (42)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
46.3% (147)
+1.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zibanejad
Home
51.7% (686)
49.8% (466)
Away
53.0% (658)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Larkin
Zibanejad
P1
52.5%
52.9%
P2
52.7%
51.2%
P3
51.4%
51.7%
OT
61.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |