Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 70 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 101-63 in 164 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 64.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Larkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
101
-
63
(164 meetings)
101
63
Larkin
Zibanejad
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
47
23
Larkin
Zibanejad
70 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
29
21
Larkin
Zibanejad
50 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
25
19
Larkin
Zibanejad
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
50.9% (11,756)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
52.2% (1,852)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
41.6% (1,796)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zibanejad
Home
53.9% (6,277)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Larkin
Zibanejad
P1
52.7%
50.4%
P2
53.1%
49.7%
P3
52.0%
49.9%
OT
58.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |