Dylan Larkin vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Backlund 49.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 42-39 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Larkin
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
39
(81 meetings)
42
39
Larkin
Backlund
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
16
7
Larkin
Backlund
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
11
16
Larkin
Backlund
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
15
16
Larkin
Backlund
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
49.7% (13,463)
+1.9%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
51.5% (1,338)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
43.9% (2,465)
+6.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Larkin
Backlund
Home
53.9% (6,277)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Larkin
Backlund
P1
52.7%
48.5%
P2
53.1%
50.3%
P3
52.0%
48.4%
OT
58.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |