Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Granlund 49.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Larkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Larkin
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Larkin
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
49.7% (493)
+1.4%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
58.6% (111)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
31.1% (61)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Larkin
Granlund
Home
51.7% (686)
54.7% (276)
Away
53.0% (658)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Larkin
Granlund
P1
52.5%
52.2%
P2
52.7%
49.3%
P3
51.4%
47.4%
OT
61.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |