Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Geekie 47.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 73.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 68.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 51.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Larkin
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Larkin
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
46.7% (120)
+4.4%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
48.6% (35)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
0.0% (3)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Larkin
Geekie
Home
51.7% (686)
46.8% (77)
Away
53.0% (658)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Larkin
Geekie
P1
52.5%
42.4%
P2
52.7%
49.1%
P3
51.4%
47.6%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |