Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Geekie 48.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 50.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.0%
Neutral zone
Geekie 50.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Larkin
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Larkin
Geekie
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
4
6
Larkin
Geekie
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Larkin
Geekie
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
48.7% (2,310)
+2.9%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
46.0% (189)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
45.7% (129)
+4.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Home / Away
Larkin
Geekie
Home
53.9% (6,277)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
Larkin
Geekie
P1
52.7%
48.6%
P2
53.1%
48.9%
P3
52.0%
47.7%
OT
58.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |