Dylan Larkin vs Nic Dowd

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 28 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 36-26 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 87.6%
Defensive zone Larkin 62.9%
Neutral zone Larkin 57.2%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Larkin Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
36 - 26 (62 meetings)
36
26
Larkin Dowd
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Dowd

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
25
3
Larkin Dowd
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
16
Larkin Dowd
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
7
Larkin Dowd
15 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
52.3% (6,036)
-0.7%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
56.1% (164)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
44.1% (1,638)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dowd
Home
53.9% (6,277)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Larkin
Dowd
P1
52.7%
51.5%
P2
53.1%
50.4%
P3
52.0%
50.3%
OT
58.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%
Dowd
40.0%
47.0%
50.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 29, 2026 3 14:44 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Jan 29, 2026 3 11:52 Defensive Nic Dowd
Jan 29, 2026 2 09:52 Neutral Nic Dowd
Jan 29, 2026 1 17:58 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 29, 2026 1 02:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Dec 21, 2025 OT 00:40 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 21, 2025 OT 00:35 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 21, 2025 2 07:22 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 21, 2025 1 05:42 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 20, 2025 3 09:41 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 20, 2025 2 13:08 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 20, 2025 1 16:15 Defensive Nic Dowd
Mar 7, 2025 3 07:53 Defensive Nic Dowd
Mar 7, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Mar 7, 2025 2 19:18 Defensive Nic Dowd
Mar 7, 2025 1 12:26 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 7, 2025 1 06:24 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 29, 2024 2 10:28 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 29, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Nic Dowd
Dec 29, 2024 1 09:28 Offensive Dylan Larkin