Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 71.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Larkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Larkin
Suzuki
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
51.3% (945)
-0.2%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
50.7% (282)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
40.3% (67)
+7.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suzuki
Home
51.7% (686)
51.0% (637)
Away
53.0% (658)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Larkin
Suzuki
P1
52.5%
53.1%
P2
52.7%
47.4%
P3
51.4%
51.3%
OT
61.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |