Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 64-48 in 112 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 75.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Larkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
48
(112 meetings)
64
48
Larkin
Suzuki
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
23
21
Larkin
Suzuki
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
26
10
Larkin
Suzuki
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
15
17
Larkin
Suzuki
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
49.4% (6,368)
+2.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
50.8% (1,355)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
44.0% (466)
+6.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suzuki
Home
53.9% (6,277)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Larkin
Suzuki
P1
52.7%
48.9%
P2
53.1%
49.1%
P3
52.0%
50.3%
OT
58.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |