Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Hischier 55.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 61.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 60.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Larkin
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Larkin
Hischier
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
7
Larkin
Hischier
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
7
Larkin
Hischier
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
3
Larkin
Hischier
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
55.8% (1,228)
-3.2%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
62.1% (282)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
47.6% (267)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hischier
Home
54.7% (783)
56.5% (867)
Away
54.3% (816)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Larkin
Hischier
P1
55.9%
57.9%
P2
56.1%
55.9%
P3
51.1%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.5%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |