Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Hischier 55.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 84.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 76.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 74.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Larkin
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Larkin
Hischier
Last 10: Larkin 9-1 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
55.5% (1,172)
-4.4%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
64.5% (265)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
43.9% (164)
+4.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hischier
Home
51.7% (686)
56.8% (791)
Away
53.0% (658)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Larkin
Hischier
P1
52.5%
56.0%
P2
52.7%
58.6%
P3
51.4%
53.5%
OT
61.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |