Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+12.2%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 55.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 68.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Larkin
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
40.5% (190)
+10.6%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
42.9% (14)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
30.0% (10)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Larkin
Buchnevich
Home
51.7% (686)
40.7% (118)
Away
53.0% (658)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Larkin
Buchnevich
P1
52.5%
42.3%
P2
52.7%
37.5%
P3
51.4%
40.3%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%