Dylan Larkin vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 90.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 93.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 92.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Larkin
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Larkin
Buchnevich
Last 9: Larkin 7-2 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Buchnevich
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Larkin
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
34.5% (931)
+17.1%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
44.2% (52)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
24.3% (37)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Larkin
Buchnevich
Home
53.9% (6,277)
35.6% (517)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Larkin
Buchnevich
P1
52.7%
35.2%
P2
53.1%
34.8%
P3
52.0%
33.4%
OT
58.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |