Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Kurashev 48.0% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 50.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Larkin
Kurashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
46.7% (184)
+5.9%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
50.0% (16)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
50.0% (6)
+5.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Kurashev is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kurashev
Home
54.7% (783)
44.4% (63)
Away
54.3% (816)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Larkin
Kurashev
P1
55.9%
53.8%
P2
56.1%
38.7%
P3
51.1%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.5%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.1%