Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Kurashev 46.9% (+9.4%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 60.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Larkin
Kurashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
50.0% (46)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
40.7% (27)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
0.0% (6)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Kurashev is 30.4% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kurashev
Home
51.7% (686)
37.5% (40)
Away
53.0% (658)
48.7% (39)
By Period
Larkin
Kurashev
P1
52.5%
48.6%
P2
52.7%
40.0%
P3
51.4%
37.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%