Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Strome 45.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 53.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
45.4% (315)
+5.7%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
35.7% (28)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
50.0% (4)
-1.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
51.7% (686)
42.6% (188)
Away
53.0% (658)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
52.5%
38.6%
P2
52.7%
48.4%
P3
51.4%
46.2%
OT
61.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |