Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Strome 44.6% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 39-38 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 67.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
38
(77 meetings)
39
38
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
16
21
Larkin
Strome
37 total
Defensive Zone
Even
11
11
Larkin
Strome
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
12
6
Larkin
Strome
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
44.2% (6,887)
+7.4%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
49.2% (855)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
41.5% (410)
+8.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
53.9% (6,277)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
52.7%
43.9%
P2
53.1%
45.4%
P3
52.0%
44.4%
OT
58.4%
46.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OT | 02:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OT | 02:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |