Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Bennett 48.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 61.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 79.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 77.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Larkin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Larkin
Bennett
Last 9: Larkin 7-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
46.4% (811)
+4.7%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
56.9% (153)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
47.8% (46)
+0.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bennett
Home
51.7% (686)
49.9% (553)
Away
53.0% (658)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Larkin
Bennett
P1
52.5%
47.4%
P2
52.7%
46.8%
P3
51.4%
48.9%
OT
61.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |