Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 27-22 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 61.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 74.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 65.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Larkin
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
22
(49 meetings)
27
22
Larkin
Bennett
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
8
10
Larkin
Bennett
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
4
Larkin
Bennett
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
8
Larkin
Bennett
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
46.8% (5,714)
+4.8%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
53.6% (558)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
41.8% (256)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bennett
Home
53.9% (6,277)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Larkin
Bennett
P1
52.7%
48.0%
P2
53.1%
46.5%
P3
52.0%
46.8%
OT
58.4%
54.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |