Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Laughton 50.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.3%
Defensive zone
Laughton 59.4%
Neutral zone
Laughton 60.4%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Larkin
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larkin
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Larkin
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Larkin
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
52.3% (398)
+0.3%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
51.4% (37)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
41.3% (63)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Laughton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Larkin
Laughton
Home
54.7% (783)
51.2% (285)
Away
54.3% (816)
50.2% (213)
By Period
Larkin
Laughton
P1
55.9%
50.0%
P2
56.1%
55.9%
P3
51.1%
47.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.5%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |