Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Laughton 55.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 75.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Larkin
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larkin
Laughton
Last 6: Larkin 3-3 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
Larkin
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
54.5% (488)
-3.4%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
85.7% (7)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
63.4% (142)
-15.2%
On power play, Laughton has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Larkin
Laughton
Home
51.7% (686)
57.5% (275)
Away
53.0% (658)
56.4% (362)
By Period
Larkin
Laughton
P1
52.5%
56.0%
P2
52.7%
61.8%
P3
51.4%
52.1%
OT
61.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |