Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Couturier 53.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 65.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Larkin
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Larkin
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
53.9% (792)
-2.8%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
62.9% (70)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
51.3% (234)
-3.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Larkin
Couturier
Home
51.7% (686)
51.4% (541)
Away
53.0% (658)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Larkin
Couturier
P1
52.5%
56.0%
P2
52.7%
52.6%
P3
51.4%
54.3%
OT
61.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |