Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.6%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Couturier 52.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 45-41 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 64.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Larkin
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
41
(86 meetings)
45
41
Larkin
Couturier
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
13
6
Larkin
Couturier
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
10
16
Larkin
Couturier
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
22
19
Larkin
Couturier
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
52.5% (11,097)
-0.9%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
59.7% (1,280)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
48.5% (1,823)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,936).
Home / Away
Larkin
Couturier
Home
53.9% (6,277)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Larkin
Couturier
P1
52.7%
52.6%
P2
53.1%
52.6%
P3
52.0%
52.9%
OT
58.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 22, 2023 | OT | 04:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 22, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |