Dylan Larkin vs Sean Monahan

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.7%). Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.2% vs Monahan 52.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor Monahan leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone Monahan 50.5%
Defensive zone Larkin 54.6%
Neutral zone Larkin 51.3%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Larkin Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 12 (20 meetings)
8
12
Larkin Monahan
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Monahan

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Larkin Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
6
Larkin Monahan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Larkin Monahan
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
53.0% (874)
-1.9%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
54.7% (161)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
47.5% (101)
+0.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +4.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Larkin
Monahan
Home
51.7% (686)
53.8% (558)
Away
53.0% (658)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Larkin
Monahan
P1
52.5%
49.5%
P2
52.7%
54.8%
P3
51.4%
52.8%
OT
61.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
53.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.4%
Monahan
40.0%
51.0%
52.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 4, 2025 OT 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Dec 4, 2025 3 17:32 Offensive Sean Monahan
Dec 4, 2025 3 03:10 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 4, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Sean Monahan
Dec 4, 2025 2 19:53 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 4, 2025 2 13:46 Offensive Sean Monahan
Dec 4, 2025 2 13:25 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 4, 2025 1 08:02 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 22, 2025 OT 00:00 Neutral Sean Monahan
Nov 22, 2025 3 17:50 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 22, 2025 3 17:45 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 22, 2025 3 11:23 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 22, 2025 3 08:38 Neutral Sean Monahan
Nov 22, 2025 3 06:48 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 22, 2025 3 06:42 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 22, 2025 3 06:38 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 22, 2025 2 18:39 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 22, 2025 2 18:32 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 22, 2025 1 12:35 Offensive Sean Monahan
Nov 22, 2025 1 12:13 Defensive Dylan Larkin