Dylan Larkin vs Sebastian Aho

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 57 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs Aho 51.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor Aho leads 70-54 in 124 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 64.1%
Defensive zone Larkin 55.3%
Neutral zone Aho 54.7%
Result Sebastian Aho favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Larkin Aho
Head-to-Head Record
54 - 70 (124 meetings)
54
70
Larkin Aho
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
19
38
Larkin Aho
57 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
20
15
Larkin Aho
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
15
17
Larkin Aho
32 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
50.2% (6,646)
+1.4%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
58.9% (1,310)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
46.5% (465)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +3.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Larkin
Aho
Home
53.9% (6,277)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Larkin
Aho
P1
52.7%
51.1%
P2
53.1%
52.1%
P3
52.0%
50.8%
OT
58.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%
Aho
60.0%
50.5%
51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 28, 2026 2 16:37 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 28, 2026 1 09:42 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 12, 2026 3 15:48 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 12, 2026 3 13:51 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 12, 2026 2 11:22 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 12, 2026 2 11:13 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 12, 2026 2 11:06 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 12, 2026 2 10:59 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Jan 12, 2026 2 00:19 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 12, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Jan 12, 2026 1 17:59 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Jan 12, 2026 1 10:15 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 12, 2026 1 06:30 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 12, 2026 1 06:25 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Jan 12, 2026 1 06:15 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Jan 12, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Dec 27, 2025 3 17:41 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 27, 2025 2 08:03 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 27, 2025 2 06:56 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Apr 4, 2025 3 02:10 Offensive Sebastian Aho