Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+11.1%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 58.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 64.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Larkin
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
42.6% (54)
+8.5%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
33.3% (6)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
40.0% (15)
+8.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Larkin
Jarvis
Home
51.7% (686)
43.6% (39)
Away
53.0% (658)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Larkin
Jarvis
P1
52.5%
36.0%
P2
52.7%
48.3%
P3
51.4%
36.8%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%