Dylan Larkin vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 96.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 75.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 86.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Larkin
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Larkin
Girgensons
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Girgensons
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
4
Larkin
Girgensons
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
45.5% (2,718)
+6.1%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
49.1% (175)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
42.2% (483)
+8.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Larkin
Girgensons
Home
53.9% (6,277)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Larkin
Girgensons
P1
52.7%
45.8%
P2
53.1%
44.1%
P3
52.0%
45.7%
OT
58.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |