Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Evans 55.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 95.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 65.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Strome
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Strome
Evans
Last 7: Strome 5-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
55.6% (522)
+0.8%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
72.7% (11)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
55.2% (210)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Strome is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Strome shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Strome
Evans
Home
55.7% (627)
54.7% (402)
Away
62.5% (586)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Strome
Evans
P1
61.7%
57.9%
P2
55.7%
55.2%
P3
60.1%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |