Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.2%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Evans 52.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 26-24 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 88.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.6%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Strome
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
24
(50 meetings)
26
24
Strome
Evans
Last 10: Strome 8-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
19
0
Strome
Evans
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
17
Strome
Evans
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
7
Strome
Evans
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
53.7% (3,740)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
60.6% (71)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
47.1% (1,228)
-1.5%
On even strength, Evans has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Strome is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,688).
Strome shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Strome
Evans
Home
51.1% (3,968)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Strome
Evans
P1
50.5%
54.0%
P2
52.3%
50.9%
P3
52.3%
52.0%
OT
52.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |