Dylan Strome vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 29-24 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 86.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Strome
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
24
(53 meetings)
29
24
Strome
MacKinnon
Last 10: Strome 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
17
3
Strome
MacKinnon
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
15
Strome
MacKinnon
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
7
6
Strome
MacKinnon
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
46.1% (11,264)
+4.0%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
53.2% (1,421)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
42.8% (502)
+2.8%
On power play, Strome has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Strome is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,688).
Strome shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Strome
MacKinnon
Home
51.1% (3,968)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Strome
MacKinnon
P1
50.5%
47.4%
P2
52.3%
46.6%
P3
52.3%
46.1%
OT
52.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |