Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Thomas 51.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 94.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 69.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Strome
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Strome
Thomas
Last 8: Strome 6-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
50.3% (652)
+6.1%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
61.5% (104)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
54.2% (120)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Strome is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Strome shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Strome
Thomas
Home
55.7% (627)
52.0% (400)
Away
62.5% (586)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Strome
Thomas
P1
61.7%
49.6%
P2
55.7%
55.4%
P3
60.1%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |