Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 51.6%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Thomas 51.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 27-16 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 83.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 59.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Strome
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
16
(43 meetings)
27
16
Strome
Thomas
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
14
1
Strome
Thomas
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
9
Strome
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
8
6
Strome
Thomas
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
51.1% (5,387)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
55.8% (927)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
50.2% (697)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Strome is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,688).
Strome shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Strome
Thomas
Home
51.1% (3,968)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Strome
Thomas
P1
50.5%
50.7%
P2
52.3%
53.0%
P3
52.3%
50.8%
OT
52.7%
59.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |