Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Lorentz 49.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 81.9%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 85.8%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 64.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 85.8%
14.2%
85.8%
Strome
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Strome
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Strome
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
51.4% (74)
+5.0%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
50.0% (2)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
42.3% (26)
-0.6%
On power play, Strome has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Strome shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Strome
Lorentz
Home
55.7% (627)
52.9% (68)
Away
62.5% (586)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Strome
Lorentz
P1
61.7%
58.6%
P2
55.7%
45.0%
P3
60.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |