Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Lorentz 48.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Lorentz leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 79.1%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 72.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.9%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Strome
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Strome
Lorentz
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
2
5
Strome
Lorentz
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
5
2
Strome
Lorentz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
48.9% (1,125)
+1.2%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
50.0% (26)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
41.8% (91)
+3.8%
On power play, Strome has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Strome shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Strome
Lorentz
Home
51.1% (3,968)
50.6% (609)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Strome
Lorentz
P1
50.5%
53.0%
P2
52.3%
46.7%
P3
52.3%
46.2%
OT
52.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |