Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Johnston 48.0% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 65.9%
Defensive zone
Johnston 82.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 65.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Strome
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Johnston
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Strome
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
47.3% (666)
+9.1%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
50.7% (69)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
51.4% (35)
-9.7%
On power play, Strome has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Strome is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Strome shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Strome
Johnston
Home
55.7% (627)
47.5% (364)
Away
62.5% (586)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Strome
Johnston
P1
61.7%
49.4%
P2
55.7%
46.9%
P3
60.1%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |