Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Johnston 49.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 68.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 86.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 64.5%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Strome
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Strome
Johnston
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
2
Strome
Johnston
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
7
Strome
Johnston
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Strome
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
49.1% (2,232)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
52.5% (179)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
44.7% (237)
+0.9%
On power play, Strome has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Strome is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,688).
Strome shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Strome
Johnston
Home
51.1% (3,968)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Strome
Johnston
P1
50.5%
50.0%
P2
52.3%
48.1%
P3
52.3%
48.6%
OT
52.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |