Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 68.8%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 91.0%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 70.0%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Strome
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Strome 2-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
52.5% (320)
+3.9%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
33.3% (3)
+33.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
42.4% (59)
-0.7%
On power play, Strome has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Strome shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Strome
Ostapchuk
Home
55.7% (627)
49.1% (171)
Away
62.5% (586)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Strome
Ostapchuk
P1
61.7%
50.4%
P2
55.7%
46.8%
P3
60.1%
55.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |