Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.0%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 84.6%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 62.0%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Strome
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Strome 2-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
48.9% (624)
+1.2%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
28.6% (7)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
46.9% (64)
-1.3%
On power play, Strome has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Strome shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Strome
Ostapchuk
Home
51.1% (3,968)
48.6% (319)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Strome
Ostapchuk
P1
50.5%
48.6%
P2
52.3%
46.6%
P3
52.3%
50.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Ostapchuk
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |