Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 46.5% vs Dowd 48.6% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 81.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Luostarinen
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (92)
51.0% (671)
-5.3%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
0.0% (2)
+45.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
41.5% (224)
-12.9%
On power play, Luostarinen has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Luostarinen is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Luostarinen shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Dowd
Home
44.4% (36)
48.2% (471)
Away
43.3% (90)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Luostarinen
Dowd
P1
38.9%
48.3%
P2
44.7%
46.8%
P3
45.1%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%