Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 54.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 54.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 68.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Luostarinen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Luostarinen
Dowd
Last 5: Luostarinen 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Luostarinen
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
0
Luostarinen
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (1,784)
52.3% (6,036)
-7.7%
Power Play
43.5% (69)
56.1% (164)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (206)
44.1% (1,638)
-6.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (690).
Luostarinen shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Dowd
Home
44.8% (1,015)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
43.0% (1,044)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Luostarinen
Dowd
P1
43.0%
51.5%
P2
45.4%
50.4%
P3
43.2%
50.3%
OT
37.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |